love the 'stache, but if jones is good, not necessarily great, the fucking NY media hype train behind him is gonna be epic...if he is great, man it's gonna be beautiful if you're holding a jones ticket...Originally Posted by varys
Gardner Minshew though.
I got him at 33:1 right before the odds tanked to 10:1 and I feel like im stealing...
He better be really fucking good because they have no receivers and a shitty o line.love the 'stache, but if jones is good, not necessarily great, the fucking NY media hype train behind him is gonna be epic...if he is great, man it's gonna be beautiful if you're holding a jones ticket...
I got him at 33:1 right before the odds tanked to 10:1 and I feel like im stealing...
the lack of receiving talent is definitely what bothers me the most...I think he's mobile enough to offset a little bit of the line...maybe im gonna be hugely wrong on that last fact...He better be really fucking good because they have no receivers and a shitty o line.
I think having saquon will help him out a lot...might also hurt him if people believe that they are winning (if they win) due to saquon…but if he posts the counting numbers that should take care of itself...
but again at 33:1 im not priced into any sorta perfection on this bet...the fact that this thing cratered to 10:1 means I already made a shitton of equity as is...I can deal with that...
GBCP
Pointsbet, my NJ pal. NJ is ground zero for sports wagering. It’s beyond any debate now.
I just learned what a points bet is. Also called an action bet.
I am the last guy to explain it but.... assume the line is -10. I bet $100 a point over 10. If the final score wins 20-0, I collect $1000
I lose a commensurate amount every point under. You set a stop loss for the bet. You must post funds equal to you stop.
Apparently a big deal in Australia where Pointsbet originates from
Someone scored $600k week one Pats I believe @ $30k a point
yeah heard about this on the simmons pod...
so for arguments sake lets say the pats line is 21 this week...can I bet $100 point with a $100 stop?
seems like a good way to fuck 'em...taking really little risk and if the game is a blowout I clean up...
I assume the max win is equal to your max loss (ie stop). idk.yeah heard about this on the simmons pod...
so for arguments sake lets say the pats line is 21 this week...can I bet $100 point with a $100 stop?
seems like a good way to fuck 'em...taking really little risk and if the game is a blowout I clean up...
It’s like any other market. I just didn’t know it existed in sports wagering.
I am backlogged on Simmons. Can you point (pun) me to the pod?
Pointsbet is so aggressive with bonuses, derivatives and now this. Fascinating book to me.
Well, now I looked. Just a formality
Unders 13-3 for week, 20-12 overall (62.5%)
Sorry Daly, Browns and Under.
It was a last minute autobet after seeing your post as you can see from the time stamp. The contrarian in me got kick started.
The September baseball is “brain dead easy” stat of the day
Favorites = or > -200 are 40-14
Teams who give a shit vs teams that don’t
yeah that makes sense...just seemed like cheap optionality otherwise...I assume the max win is equal to your max loss (ie stop). idk.
It’s like any other market. I just didn’t know it existed in sports wagering.
I am backlogged on Simmons. Can you point (pun) me to the pod?
Pointsbet is so aggressive with bonuses, derivatives and now this. Fascinating book to me.
fuck, don't remember what pod he mentioned it on...want to say it was sometime in mid-august, but that doesn't really help...
pointsbet seems tough...so you're basically betting that you're better than the market...im a sportsbetting fish so i'd get fucking hammered...if you have a nose for sniffing bullshit on the lines, I can definitely see it being a profitable endeavor if you pick your spots..
My habit has been to go to a Vegas sportsbook for first week of MLB playoffs. One of my favorite things in life.
100% I’m going to New Jersey this time. I’ve heard too many favorable reports. I must make the pilgrimage at least once.
The NJ gaming commission and lawmakers are very focused on the public and are very innovative. Must sample.
yeah but then you have to go to AC...and that's just the nut low...
pack your Kevlar and AK...
Money heals all woundsyeah but then you have to go to AC...and that's just the nut low...
pack your Kevlar and AK...
There are some huge bonuses out there - we’ve discussed
Here’s a 1st inn scratchpad for nostalgias sake
5 minutes from now
TABLET - MLB PROPS - WASHINGTON NATIONALS @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS - SCORE IN 1ST INNING - NO -130
W
No runs & zero drama
That’s not how I remember 1st inn lol
tru…Money heals all wounds
There are some huge bonuses out there - we’ve discussed
Here’s a 1st inn scratchpad for nostalgias sake
5 minutes from now
TABLET - MLB PROPS - WASHINGTON NATIONALS @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS - SCORE IN 1ST INNING - NO -130
if it didn't make my skin crawl going back to that dump i'd meet you down there for a bourbon and a cigar...
Anyone want to take a shot at a dog over +400 today?
Texas isn't a terrible team (74-78), has the 6th most runs scored out of the 15 AL teams, and Koby Allard has pitched okay, with the ability to pitch well when he's on.
Gerrit Cole is the obvious reason for this line, but he's gone 8 innings the last 2 starts, and I'm wondering if he will either be tired or load-managed for this one. He has had double-digit Ks in the last 6 starts, which is also part of the reason for this line.
Anyway, I'm going to gamble. This one has a better shot than when a team like Detroit or KC faces him.
Texas (Allard) +425 at Houston (Cole)
Also
Cincinnati (Mahle) +150 at Cubs (Lester)
Lester looks very worn out.
I assume the max win is equal to your max loss (ie stop). idk.
It’s like any other market. I just didn’t know it existed in sports wagering.
I am backlogged on Simmons. Can you point (pun) me to the pod?
Pointsbet is so aggressive with bonuses, derivatives and now this. Fascinating book to me.
What’s old is new again.
We used to call them “fast cash” bets. Some locals would offer them but it was “the Greek.com” of emory serves that was the big online operator who offered these for 1-2 seasons.
A few buddies solved for X on these types of bets back in the day. The general idea was to find a college game with a 30ish point spread and a high total and take the favorite. If the dog won it was usually a cover of no more than 10 points. Some times the favorite would win by a few and you win a few bucks. The underdog blowout “almost never” happened, if there was going to be a blowout it was going to be a team like USC annihilating some shitbag like Oregon St back in the day.
Now I say “almost never” because a certain poster that we all know and love (not me) put in a huge fastcash bet on The U vs Mike Vick’s Va Tech as a moderate favorite. Va Tech won like 40-10. Guy had to ride the bus for a while.
Was I right about Allard, or what? 4 2/3 innings, 2 hits, 0 runs so far.
Unfortunately Cole is Cole, and it's locked 0-0.
Of course a minute after I type this, he gives up a hit and then a HR.
What do we think about the football game tomorrow night? I've been doing well betting unders so far. But 39.5? Seems low even for these teams.
#ToddsPlan
I say hmmmmmmmm on this one...
and this one too...
https://twitter.com/twt/status/1174349783307358209
Last edited by GambleBotsChafedPenis; 09-18-2019 at 07:38 PM.
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