I'm actualy rethinking my Colts under 8.5 play.... curious if any of you have some thoughts.
I'm actualy rethinking my Colts under 8.5 play.... curious if any of you have some thoughts.
Tough one. On one hand, they statistically played at about the level of a 7-9 team last year, and just had everything fall right for them to finish 11-5. Regression would seem obvious. On the other hand, the AFC looks even worse, Luck should be better, and they still play TEN and JAX twice. 8.5 seems like the perfect line for them.
The season win totals I really like right now would be:
CIN over 8.5
NYJ under 6.5
also leaning towards liking
KC over 7.5
OAK under 5.5
If it was any other season, I'd say OAK and NYJ are practically locks for 3-13 or worse. But with so many other shitty teams in the AFC, this could be one of those years where no team finishes that poor, but we wind up with like 7 teams all at 6-10 or 5-11.
Last edited by gut; 08-12-2013 at 02:19 PM.
Took 2 baseball games today
Got Phillies +160 (Hamels pitching). Outside of one start where he got shelled Hamels has pitched like an ace his last 5 or 6 games. Would take Hamels in this spot vs just about anyone
Got Marlins +160 and I now see them +190. I bet this one blind pretty much. Was looking at pitchers in my fantasy league a couple days ago and saw Wade Davis has an ERA of 5+ and a whip of like 1.5+ which are both terrible so I just scooped florida
Interesting dawgs
Lyles on the mound for HOU who is not very good and Colon P for Oak makes that tough. Chi Sox, forget about it Scherzer is on the mound. And A Rios off to TEX.
Mil, meh their is easier money. Alex Rios settling into the TEX lineup only helps them.
Some more intriguing dawgs today are LAA at +135/SEA +205/NYM +110 (Harvey on the mound) plus some favs. Seattle and LAA are very intriguing, Mets too with Harvey dealing.
How about Louisville (puke) to win the BCS Championship? +1500. Guess they've got as good a shot as anyone.
No.
Granted it is entirely possible that they will go undefeated because that schedule is fucking awful. Problem is even if they are lucky enough to make the game whoever the face off against in the NC game is going to be at least a 2 TD favorite and a three TD favorite if it's Bama/Georgia. So long story short you will be able to get +800/+1500 at the time of the game. Not worth the risk of an non undefeated season or an undefeated season with a 1 loss SEC team and Ohio St/Pac 10 champ.
I think the best play of them all is Georgia at +1800/+2400. They play Clemson and SC (at home) right out of the chute. If they get by that they have a real clear path to the NC game..... so long as they can beat Bama in the SEC champ game. Georgia is capable of winning that game and will probably be one of the few games where Bama is a TD or less favorite. If Georgia gets to the SEC Champ game you can always lay some off on Bama ML because you hold a ticket at huge odds.
nah youll never get that good of a price...
I think ND was only like +250-300, maybe +350 last year at least on carbon...
BREAKING: Tom Brady has left practice following an apparent knee injury.
Maybe I should have locked up that under 11 Pats wins after all but nothing announced how serious this is as of yet.
I just unloaded on Mexico +140 tonight. Although its a friendly if they lose their coach will be fired they said, so Im hoping those fuckers dont hate their coach and lose on purpose in a meaningless game.
Last edited by ShadyJ; 08-14-2013 at 02:24 PM. Reason: Soccer
If the SEC champ has two losses
If Ohio St looses
If the Pac Ten champ looses (Oregon or Standford)
If The Vile has a loss
If three of these 4 happen AND Fresno goes convincingly undefeated..... Then you might see them in the NC game.... as a 3 TD dog.
I think you bet it with the intention of betting 1250 on the favorite ML and lock in $300 or so bucks.
1. 8/29/2013 11:00 PM College Football 147 USC* -15 vs Hawaii
2. 8/31/2013 12:00 PM College Football 160 Ohio State* -29½ vs Buffalo U
3. 8/31/2013 5:30 PM College Football 171 Alabama* -11½ vs Virginia Tech
4. 8/31/2013 7:00 PM College Football 184 Oklahoma* -16½ vs UL Monroe
5. 8/31/2013 7:00 PM College Football 187 New Mexico State* +49 vs Texas
6. 8/31/2013 7:00 PM College Football 192 Florida* -16½ vs Toledo
7. 8/31/2013 12:00 PM College Football 202 Nebraska* -21 vs Wyoming
8. 8/30/2013 8:30 PM College Football 324 Kansas State* -9½ vs North Dakota State
Booking this 7 point teaser for week one
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