*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[simpdog]

Trey over 4.5 strikeouts -135

I'm wishy washy on totals + side due to a rookie debut, felt this was safe provided he doesn't blow up in the first/second I see him looking at 6-7 strike outs over 4-5 innings.

Tampa whiffs above avg and Trey has lights out stuff. But this is the majors so I need to control myself.

[Tellafriend]

Trey over 4.5 strikeouts -135

I'm wishy washy on totals + side due to a rookie debut, felt this was safe provided he doesn't blow up in the first/second I see him looking at 6-7 strike outs over 4-5 innings.

Tampa whiffs above avg and Trey has lights out stuff. But this is the majors so I need to control myself.

Trey Yesavage/StrikeoutsO 4½ -130


in. lfg.

[Daly]

Took the brightline train down to the game - in and out of there quickly. All and all it was a great time and Ill def go back.


The NE win today was the largest win for the public this season by far. Nothing is ever 100% but its not a spot you want to be in often.

Last I saw, NE wasn’t the public side.

How often does the public even go with the dog on the road?

After watching miami throw up on themselves in week 1 the public (correctly, in this case) over reacted and piled into NE. They were the most bet on team this past weekend.

[Sanlmar]

Trey over 4.5 strikeouts -135

I'm wishy washy on totals + side due to a rookie debut, felt this was safe provided he doesn't blow up in the first/second I see him looking at 6-7 strike outs over 4-5 innings.

Tampa whiffs above avg and Trey has lights out stuff. But this is the majors so I need to control myself.

Uh oh.

Kid was pitching in relief recently. I saw some Jays beat writer claim he has no innings restriction but is that really how things work Simp? Really?

Words can hurt Simpdog.

[Dan Druff]

Last I saw, NE wasn’t the public side.

How often does the public even go with the dog on the road?

After watching miami throw up on themselves in week 1 the public (correctly, in this case) over reacted and piled into NE. They were the most bet on team this past weekend.

Where are you seeing this? Everywhere I've looked, there was no indication that NE was a public team.

[Sanlmar]

Trey over 4.5 strikeouts -135

I'm wishy washy on totals + side due to a rookie debut, felt this was safe provided he doesn't blow up in the first/second I see him looking at 6-7 strike outs over 4-5 innings.

Tampa whiffs above avg and Trey has lights out stuff. But this is the majors so I need to control myself.

Trey Yesavage/StrikeoutsO 4½ -130


in. lfg.

Closing line value BIGly

I see -154 now. If you can do that always you are promised riches and glory.

Congrats

[Dan Druff]

Okay, no CLV here, BUT...

How would you like to bet on a pitcher with a 7.54 ERA over 5 starts? How about that same pitcher on the road?

How about against a pitcher who allowed 1 run in 18 innings between August 24 and Sept 3?

Kai-Wei Teng had one good start in early August, and 5 bad starts. His numbers are dreadful. But do you know what I saw?

He had 16 K over his past 9.1 innings, and generated 14 whiffs on just 77 pitches last time out. This looks like he's getting close to getting it together, especially since his issues in his last start were from walks (5), whereas in the previous start he allowed 0.

Zac Gallen is a mystery, having gotten hit hard early by these same Giants last time out, but otherwise having 3 great starts prior to that. He's very inconsistent, so this is a risky play.

Ploppies will look at the pitchers and auto-fire on what looks like a great low priced favorite on the Dbacks at home, but I'm going the other way.



San Francisco (Teng) +114 at Arizona (Gallen)

[simpdog]

Trey Yesavage/StrikeoutsO 4½ -130


in. lfg.

Closing line value BIGly

I see -154 now. If you can do that always you are promised riches and glory.

Congrats

Tella and I own a site where we sell all of your picks. The odd time we throw in my picks.....always moves the line/juice.

[Sanlmar]

Closing line value BIGly

I see -154 now. If you can do that always you are promised riches and glory.

Congrats

Tella and I own a site where we sell all of your picks. The odd time we throw in my picks.....always moves the line/juice.

In the end I blind tailed. The other leg here is akin to Druff on the phone with customer service - trying to save $10 of juice.



You have been the Jays whisperer for us. This kid was must watch for wagering. What a story. Low A to MLB in a season and now the playoffs.

[simpdog]

Tella and I own a site where we sell all of your picks. The odd time we throw in my picks.....always moves the line/juice.

In the end I blind tailed. The other leg here is akin to Druff on the phone with customer service - trying to save $10 of juice.



You have been the Jays whisperer for us. This kid was must watch for wagering. What a story. Low A to MLB in a season and now the playoffs.

Unbelievable story. Not sure why we didn’t bring him up before September

But I believe they can petition to add him anyways. Especially if we have an injury.

Scared about Bo. He’s going for a second opinion. I thought he was just out for 5-10 days resting

[Tellafriend]

Closing line value BIGly

I see -154 now. If you can do that always you are promised riches and glory.

Congrats

Tella and I own a site where we sell all of your picks. The odd time we throw in my picks.....always moves the line/juice.

holy shit SIMP! my fucking man. TY!

Trey Yesavage/StrikeoutsO 4½ -130


9 kos.

WOW

[Tellafriend]

Okay, no CLV here, BUT...

How would you like to bet on a pitcher with a 7.54 ERA over 5 starts? How about that same pitcher on the road?

How about against a pitcher who allowed 1 run in 18 innings between August 24 and Sept 3?

Kai-Wei Teng had one good start in early August, and 5 bad starts. His numbers are dreadful. But do you know what I saw?

He had 16 K over his past 9.1 innings, and generated 14 whiffs on just 77 pitches last time out. This looks like he's getting close to getting it together, especially since his issues in his last start were from walks (5), whereas in the previous start he allowed 0.

Zac Gallen is a mystery, having gotten hit hard early by these same Giants last time out, but otherwise having 3 great starts prior to that. He's very inconsistent, so this is a risky play.

Ploppies will look at the pitchers and auto-fire on what looks like a great low priced favorite on the Dbacks at home, but I'm going the other way.



San Francisco (Teng) +114 at Arizona (Gallen)

ok, i'm very lightly tailing again. but if this goes south, Todd, i'm going to have to let you go.

[Dan Druff]

Okay, no CLV here, BUT...

How would you like to bet on a pitcher with a 7.54 ERA over 5 starts? How about that same pitcher on the road?

How about against a pitcher who allowed 1 run in 18 innings between August 24 and Sept 3?

Kai-Wei Teng had one good start in early August, and 5 bad starts. His numbers are dreadful. But do you know what I saw?

He had 16 K over his past 9.1 innings, and generated 14 whiffs on just 77 pitches last time out. This looks like he's getting close to getting it together, especially since his issues in his last start were from walks (5), whereas in the previous start he allowed 0.

Zac Gallen is a mystery, having gotten hit hard early by these same Giants last time out, but otherwise having 3 great starts prior to that. He's very inconsistent, so this is a risky play.

Ploppies will look at the pitchers and auto-fire on what looks like a great low priced favorite on the Dbacks at home, but I'm going the other way.



San Francisco (Teng) +114 at Arizona (Gallen)

ok, i'm very lightly tailing again. but if this goes south, Todd, i'm going to have to let you go.

Time to let me go. Glad the tailing was light.

Notice that Teng pitched mostly well as expected (a little wild at the beginning leading to the first run, but he left the game tied 1-1 after 4). So I was right about that.

Unfortunately some awful relievers coughed up 6 quick runs after that, and that was that.






** you might want to still give me a chance in the NFL though, because I did well this past week

[Tellafriend]

god damned zebras on indy. that was more bs changing outcomes of games where there was no win.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/BadSportsRefs/status/1967366125735612422

yes, i am still salty over this abomination.

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/RyanGreeneDNVR/status/1967607466725957878