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Thread: *** OFFICIAL *** NFL 2025-26 Thread

  1. #61
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    No, money/bets discrepancy describes who the big action bettors like, but that doesn't always correspond to who is sharp. It CAN mean that, but it can also mean that the high rollers just prefer one team over the other.

    Sharp money is something tracked by various services which watch the action of known sharp bettors (there's various ways this can be done), and report back.

    There are various positive indicators you look for when placing a spread/moneyline bet:

    - General sharp action on your side

    - Known sharp bettors stating publicly that the side they like is also your side

    - The money wagered being a higher percentage on your side than percentage of bets placed

    - Reverse line movement -- when the line goes the opposite way you'd expect based upon the amount of action on one side


    If you have all four of these, it's usually a great pick.

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    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    lol, i just now learned that the Chiefs and Chargers game is in Brazil... and the viewing options is on youtube for free in the USA...

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    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Circa Survivor has gone over $16m in prizepool, so it has already beat the $15m guarantee. They are still taking entries until Saturday.

    I am in a decent sized survivor.


    Give me Arizona in week 1

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    KC Chiefs -- Not only did they play several bad games last year, and got stomped in the Super Bowl, but there's some concerns that the team doesn't have much depth, and that both Kelce and Mahomes will play worse this year. Note that Kelce is about to be 36, and Mahomes regressed a little in 2024-25 versus the prior year. Many think this is still a superteam, but I wouldn't be surprised to see them fall short of expectations.

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    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/SavageSports_/status/1964147942522069190

    https://twitter.com/416PatsNation/status/1964174392482468327

    I really hope teams highlight this surprise shot in film the rest of the year and someone trucks him regardless of the potential flag. Given the circumstances this is one of the scummiest plays ever, he absolutely is taking full advantage of the ref favoritism and his perceived tendency to flop.

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