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Thread: *** OFFICIAL *** NFL 2025-26 Thread

  1. #41
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Circa Survivor has gone over $16m in prizepool, so it has already beat the $15m guarantee. They are still taking entries until Saturday.

  2. #42
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    From the first half of this opening game, what I wrote in post #1 is looking accurate.

    Eagles look flawed.

    Dallas defense to the running game is trash.

  3. #43
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    can i buy some of ur action in this survivor thing

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    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    having a me and todge sweat is great for the q4 vibes

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    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    Miles Sanders got ran down by a 6'3" linebacker on what would have been a touchdown for nearly every other back in the league and then fumbled in the red zone a few minutes later - just Cowboys things.

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    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Suspending the game is giving me prop betting angina

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    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Suspending the game is giving me prop betting angina


    def have to wonder how the tempo will go afterwards and bets made at halftime based on same, smh...

  8. #48
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Suspending the game is giving me prop betting angina


    def have to wonder how the tempo will go afterwards and bets made at halftime based on same, smh...
    Toradol wears off

  9. #49
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    While we are waiting, note that the sharps are on Jax -3.5, so that will influence my survivor picks. I also might bet it.

  10. #50
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    While we are waiting, note that the sharps are on Jax -3.5, so that will influence my survivor picks. I also might bet it.

    was my 2nd fav choice and i'm on them far more than i should be for wk1. but never forget, they are still jax.

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  12. #52
    Gold The Boz's Avatar
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    New season, same result for the public saps.

    They beat the over as always, are counting their money at halftime and we all know how it ends for them.

  13. #53

  14. #54
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Really too bad Cowboys are paying top 3 money for the 15th best QB and 15th best WR

    (Before im asked, I'd take Jefferson, Addison, Chase, Higgins, Wilson, Nico, B Thomas, Sutton, Mclaurin, AJ, Nabers, Amon Ra, london, puka.....over Ceedee)

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    New season, same result for the public saps.

    They beat the over as always, are counting their money at halftime and we all know how it ends for them.
    Imagine how infuriating it must have been to be an over-betting ploppy, seeing 41 points at halftime, and losing your over-47.5 bet.

    I actually know some ploppy sportsbettors who see themselves as sharp (not anyone on this forum, btw), and yet I see them with the most public plays imaginable. I want to say something, but I also don't want to say something. So I stay quiet and mind my own business.

  16. #56
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    My focus is on that AFC West. Most interesting division to me.

    I like the under on Chiefs 11.5. Vet team that cares more about being healthy come playoffs than reg season. I also think Chargers can be really good. Broncos much better. Even the Raiders aren’t horrible, but I’d probably lean to the under 6.5 for +125. Having six games against the others is tough.

    I like Chargers +320 to win that division also. I also like over 9.5. Just think they are at least a 10 win team.

    Patriots 8.5 win total feels a little optimistic. I like Vrabel, think it’s a good hire, but not a 9 win team imo.

    Don’t have any strong opinion other than we are at the point where KC coasts a bit. Winning every game by a FG and refs doesn’t feel likely again.
    Money where my mouth is time in regards to Chiefs-Chargers


    Single @
    -106
    Open
    Sep 5 • 2025 At 09:38:52 AM
    Ticket ID: 9528512
    Point Spread: LA Chargers +3.0
    KC Chiefs vs LA Chargers


    Single @
    +135
    Open
    Sep 5 • 2025 At 09:03:20 AM
    Ticket ID: 9528413
    Moneyline: LA Chargers
    KC Chiefs vs LA Chargers

  17. #57
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Suspending the game is giving me prop betting angina


    def have to wonder how the tempo will go afterwards and bets made at halftime based on same, smh...
    I saw a stat that said this is only the 4th time since 1990 that a game had 41 first half points and the game went under.

    If Saquon Barkley made his 90 rushing it woulda been a legendary night

  18. #58
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Not a big NFL fan of late but I just realized the game last night did not have the endless yellow flags and the interminable video reviews.

    Maybe the alcohol clouded my memory

  19. #59
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Here’s another tempo change stat

    Name:  IMG_3546.jpeg
Views: 20
Size:  211.8 KB

  20. #60
    Platinum JimmyG_415's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    While we are waiting, note that the sharps are on Jax -3.5, so that will influence my survivor picks. I also might bet it.
    Now, how do you get that the sharp money is on Jacksonville?
    You look for teams that have less bets/but more money wagered on them, right?

    These both say there are more bets & more money on them.
    I don't care about this individual game, just want to know in general.
    Am I wrong? are these numbers wrong? or do you get more sophisticated information?


    Wagertalk......................................... ................................tickets .../money
    Name:  jax.png
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    Draftkings
    Name:  Jax 2.png
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    San Francisco crowned the ‘world’s best’ city to live: survey
    https://www.kron4.com/news/bay-area/...o-live-survey/

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