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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #39741
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Can one of you geniuses help me with estimating @BookitWithTrent twitter monetization?

    Legendary fade … guys a genius

    I know he earns from PrizePicks but he has to be crushing Twitter. Never seen him on Prize Picks. I owe it to myself

    Gimme a over/under
    I believe he is making an absolute fortune, possible 100k monthly depending upon how his back end deal works

    High likely hood he gets a % of all his referrals losses

    If they follow his picks they are all getting crushed

    Glad to see others are financially enriching themselves by fading Trent

    Using your sharp process to tout losing plays so others can bet them and get a freeroll on the losses plus being able to get your side of the number at a price because you generated demand for the other side of the trade.


    If this is close to true its scummy and genius.

     
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      NickyPipes: honestly he comes off as a good guy and loveable loser, doubt hes a total scammer like that

  2. #39742
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Can one of you geniuses help me with estimating @BookitWithTrent twitter monetization?

    Legendary fade … guys a genius

    I know he earns from PrizePicks but he has to be crushing Twitter. Never seen him on Prize Picks. I owe it to myself

    Gimme a over/under
    I believe he is making an absolute fortune, possible 100k monthly depending upon how his back end deal works

    High likely hood he gets a % of all his referrals losses

    If they follow his picks they are all getting crushed

    Glad to see others are financially enriching themselves by fading Trent
    He’s not an affiliate. Is he? Gimme an estimate of his Twitter and TikTok revenue. That’s the story.

    Everyone has a model. Scraping data and all that. I am truly surprised how common this is. So I have two people in my circle who talk about offering some kind of product. Boring and “me-too”. WOT

    My mantra to these kids is “wager-tainment”. Mr Robinson would have whispered “wager-tainment” to Dustin Hoffman if The Graduate was set in 2024. (None of these kids have ever heard of The Graduate)

    My suggestion is offer a series via TikTok or YouTube on how to build a model. Parse it out slowly and with an entertainment component. Partial nudity perhaps. Offer a pick everyday supported by the model.

    Part of our group is a female dev in Poland who is into MLB. Absolutely fascinating and cute kid. Perfect for my YouTube model building series I think. I joke yesterday she learned English by listening to Padres broadcasts with Don Orsillo and Friends reruns. She responds, “I don’t know ANY English”. She’s been chatting with us using ChatGpt. Mind blown. Her posts have been filled with personality and nuance. I never detected and I’m a darn good read of these sorts of things.

  3. #39743
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by NickyPipes View Post

    I believe he is making an absolute fortune, possible 100k monthly depending upon how his back end deal works

    High likely hood he gets a % of all his referrals losses

    If they follow his picks they are all getting crushed

    Glad to see others are financially enriching themselves by fading Trent

    Using your sharp process to tout losing plays so others can bet them and get a freeroll on the losses plus being able to get your side of the number at a price because you generated demand for the other side of the trade.


    If this is close to true its scummy and genius.
    Do you believe that at this point ANYONE alive doesn’t understand the Trent brand?

    I have never laid eyes on him but he’s a daily meme. Even I get it.

    Again, if he he has a deal beyond on air entertainment for Prize Picks this is of enormous interest to me. My hunch is that would jeopardize the real sosh income which I suspect is considerable.

  4. #39744
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Jays over 7 -105

  5. #39745
    Bronze DrPeters's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrPeters View Post
    celtics -10
    fade the cetics, take the pacers

  6. #39746
    Gold 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    MIL @ MIA over 8 -105
    5-4 MIA in the 8th....
    Attached Images Attached Images  

     
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      Pablo:
      
      DrPeters: nice hit boss
      
      Tellafriend: fire

  7. #39747
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    I would like to thank Boxcar. He has been posting winners like a machine.

     
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      1dollarboxcar: no hay problema señor pablo....

  8. #39748
    Gold 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    MIL @ Mia over 7 +105 that's @Circa looks like you can get anywhere from +104 to -102 at other books....

  9. #39749
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pablo View Post
    I would like to thank Boxcar. He has been posting winners like a machine.
    Name:  IMG_9357.gif
Views: 125
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      Pablo:

  10. #39750
    Bronze DrPeters's Avatar
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    twolves -4.5

  11. #39751
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    My guess would be Trent has some cushy base salary type deal, some 6 figure amount, i only follow his twitter picks and dont watch his shows, but he seems to do a daily stream promoting his sponsors sites, taking calls from his followers and talking about the games, joking around, etc.

    In addition I would guess he is making a % of all his referrals losses, this is the set up for guys liek Steve Will Do it who I believe also promotes prize picks.

    That Coffee Zilla guy on youtube exposed Steve Will for this a while back with another site and somehow had a screenshot of his dashboard, oh ya it was Stake, and Steve had made millions from his referalls losses on that site LOL

    would also assume they get some alloted bankroll to make these picks to promote to their audiences, who knows how much and how they split up the winnings on those

    but trent truly does put out the worst sports picks on anyone I have ever seen, he recently posted his monthly ROI chart and it was i believe all red, usually -30% a day

    I try to fade his picks every opportunity I get and feel a great sense of shame and sadness when I put a bet in then see that guy on twitter promoting he picked the same team

  12. #39752
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    For example today I was going to bet on Bayen Leverkusen, who were on a European Club record streak for games without a loss, in Euro Cup Final

    However I logged into Twitter and saw Trent posting how he was riding with BL

    knew I couldnt bet it

    Didnt have the balls to fade and take Atlanta +300, what a dumb ass I am and also cowardly

  13. #39753
    Bronze DrPeters's Avatar
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    celtics under 225.5

     
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      Pablo: I was on the under as well

  14. #39754
    Silver cleatus's Avatar
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    Name:  pfa daly.JPG
Views: 81
Size:  199.9 KB

     
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      Daly:

  15. #39755
    Gold 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    CLE ml -105 at LAA

  16. #39756
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    San Francisco (Harrison) +129 at New York (C. Scott)

  17. #39757
    Bronze DrPeters's Avatar
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    mavs +6

  18. #39758
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Verlander is 41 and starting to show his age. Very inconsistent this year.

    Ross Stripling just isn't good.

    Wind blowing out at 14mph.

    Need any more reasons?

    Houston (Verlander) at Oakland (Stripling) - Over 4.5 -110 FIRST 5 INNINGS

  19. #39759
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Cubs (Imanaga) -0.5 -125 at St. Louis (Mikolas) - FIRST 5 INNINGS

  20. #39760
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    OMG this fucking game.

    Giants hang a fiver on the Mets in the 8th to come back from 6-2. Then they get another in the 9th to go up 8-6.

    They boot the fucking game ending DP, now it's 8-7 with bases loaded, one out.

    Edit: Two outs, 3-2 count

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