
Originally Posted by
Dan Druff
There is a worst case scenario to this situation which could lead to World War III.
This is because of all the factions backing the various players right now.
The US is ready to attack Hezbollah, if they attempt to go after Israel from the north. If the US obliterates Hezbollah, Iran will probably start some kind of proxy war against Israel. If Israel eventually gets overwhelmed and feels as if they are about to be defeated, they will use their nukes. This, in turn, could cause China and Russia to get involved (who are on Iran's side), who could then retaliate with nukes against Israel.
What would the US do in such a situation? Would we use our own nukes, or allow Israel to get obliterated?
This isn't as far fetched a scenario as you might think.
"Peace through strength" especially applies in this situation. Israel cannot project weakness or vulnerability. They need to fairly quickly destroy Hamas, and then basically stand tall and basically dare Hezbollah to start any shit, even if the prospect of that happening legitimately scares them.
There are many in the region who have been waiting for the perfect moment of weakness to obliterate Israel and all the Jews there. Israel only continues to exist through its military power and, secondarily, western support. If their neighbors sense they are vulnerable, not only will the expected enemies attack, but their present "friendly" neighbors might also turn on them.
A cease fire would be the worst thing they could do right now -- both short term and long term.