Sacramento Over 199 -115 (199.5 -110 ok)
Sacramento Over 199 -115 (199.5 -110 ok)
Tough to bet against hurts...dude just doesn't do any stupid shit to cost his team games...
Looked at the Chubb under and it was -200...
Missed it so live bet it at 218.5. Got the other. Gl to us.Originally Posted by Dan Druff
I was considering 3 unders today:
Milwaukee, which I actually posted, then erased before placing submit. (Didn't bet it either.) That's winning for sure.
Houston, which I posted and bet, and is a toss-up right now as we approach end of 1H.
Cleveland, which I did not post nor bet, and is a toss-up with slight favor to winning.
No lie -- I only backed off of Milwaukee because there was a huge spike in the line by about 2 points, from 214 to 216. Usually an under bettor would be happy to see that, but I wasn't because I felt this was indicative of someone knowing something, and I decided to skip it. Public betting was VERY heavy on over, because of the fast pace the two teams have been playing lately. (The public obviously wasn't causing my doubt, though.)
Sharps were on the under.
The spike in the line was in the final 45 minutes before the game. I might have to start ignoring these, as I'm noticing that sometimes it happens where Vegas will move the line in the final hour to ease a huge betting disparity, even if they lean a particular way in the expected result. (That is, they wanted more money to be on the over side, but not THAT much more.)
I will be watching this factor for another reason -- and that's to get an actual better line by waiting to bet something like this until the last minute.
Daly, what are your thoughts on this? I know you watch line movement a lot. Do you notice the same weird "final hour" line movement sometimes on lopsided betting sides?
Got the Bulls game at O220.
First half looked good, but 3rd Q both teams shooting bad, especially Bulls. Gonna need a big 4th. Meh.
Druff,
Whenever you get a chance PayPal the money Tellafriend was nice enough to donate to my gambling fund. Having a bad year overall, so any donation helps. Thanks again Tellafriend. Anytime you want to make an even money bet on a big underdog let me know, and I will probably accommodate you.
Terrible 3rd Q. Gonna need a 57 point 4th. Not impossible, but definitely not a favorite.
You can't be this dense. But way to rub it in. You killed it the whole way. You are a sports betting god.
Honestly you were only a little ahead of pace, even at the game's best point.
Admittedly it was ahead of pace for the entire 1H, but it's not like it was huge with scoring and then collapsed in 2H.
Anyway, as you said, it's only 57 points, which can easily happen. You're more in this than you think. But I agree you're definitely a dog at this point.
Bulls are ice cold. They are getting the shots. They just can't make them. It is what it is. That is why they are a bad team I guess.
Yeah. It was never a lock. Just went from a decent favorite to a dog (that is becoming bigger and bigger with every Bulls brick)Honestly you were only a little ahead of pace, even at the game's best point.
Admittedly it was ahead of pace for the entire 1H, but it's not like it was huge with scoring and then collapsed in 2H.
Anyway, as you said, it's only 57 points, which can easily happen. You're more in this than you think. But I agree you're definitely a dog at this point.
Need somebody to pull a Tanya Harding on Michel at half time. Where’s that cameraman that worked the OSU/Michigan game?
Only 42 points in the last 5:57, to make my Houston under lose by 3.
Unfuckingbelievable.
Even more unbelievable was that this game was NOT CLOSE in the 4th.
This wasn't due to intentional fouling.
There were only 5 points in the final 1:21!
How the fuck do 37 points roll in over slightly more than 4.5 minutes?
This has to be one of the bigger screw jobs I've had this year.
Markennan with the garbage 3 at the end of the clock for the over
I'll take it.
That was the least of the problems.
Garbage 3s change total results all the time.
This was a shocking situation where 42 points scored in the final 5:56 in a game which was never close.
That almost never happens.
Bulls games are like that. If they are down big they just chuck it up. I remember we were in the same spot a few weeks ago in a Bull-Knicks game and the exact same thing happened.
Now my Sac over is starting like crap. I think I'll turn it off for awhile. In such a bad mood about this Houston one.
Just having a little fun. You didn't strike me as the sensitive type that would care overmuch. If you do, then I'll stop.You can't be this dense. But way to rub it in. You killed it the whole way. You are a sports betting god.
Never trust a kicker. For fuck’s sake.
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