*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Dan Druff]

One pick today. Don't like any of the O/U for various reasons.

Washington -8.5 vs. LA Lakers

Lakers are back to back on the road, and I think they are going to slip back into some bad habits after winning back to back games and likely drawing too much false confidence. Washington blew out Miami two days ago, and is one of the better teams in the east. I smell a Lakers bedshit on this game, especially because of the back-to-back on the road factor.

Kobe was tired yesterday BEFORE the game, so I bet he's even more worn out now.

My current record is 15-13-2.

I bet 770 to win 700.

[Dan Druff]

Game went off at -9 so the public likes my position.

Early on, it's a typical meaningless NBA first quarter, 18-17 with 3:39 left in the first.

I expect the Lakers to collapse in the third due to fatigue. They might hang tough for the first half.

[Dan Druff]

Lakeres indeed hung tough in the 1st half.

54-52 Was.

Interestingly, Lakers right now are 4-0 against the Eastern Conference and 1-13 against the Western Conference.

Just shows you how much the east sucks.

[Dan Druff]

Washington easily covered, but it wasn't looking too certain in the final 2 minutes. The Lakers cut it to 4, but then the wheels fell off. Washington made a basket, Kobe tried to shoot a 3 and missed, and then the Lakers suffered repeated lapses both offensively and defensively, turning the ball over and allowing fast break after fast break (4 in a row, lol). When the smoke cleared, Washington won by 16!

I'm now 7-2 in my last 9 NBA bets.

I got all four of my recent back-to-back on the road picks (Sunday-Wednesday) correct:

Sunday: Miami at NY: Picked Miami, won
Monday: Miami at Washington: Picked Washington, won
Tuesday: Lakers at Detroit: Picked Lakers, won
Wednesday: Lakers at Washington: Picked Washington, won

So here I picked two Miami games and two Lakers games, going with them to beat a weak team ATS on the first night, and then losing ATS against Washington (a strong team) the next night.

Record now 16-13-2.

[Dan Druff]

Pick for tomorrow:

Cleveland at NY: Under 197.5

New York can't score. Here are their offensive totals in the past 6 games: 83, 86, 102 (OT-- 95 in regulation), 78, 79, 93. That's an average of 85.7 points (ignoring the OT points). The last two were with Carmelo's return, so as you can see, things haven't changed much.

The Cavs, trying to adjust their strategy due to their disappointing start, are now running a more defensive game. Through November 15, they were involved in numerous high scoring contests, and most games saw both teams scoring 100+. Since then, they have kept opponents under 100 points 6 out of 8 games, and under 95 points 5 out of 8.

Here is an article about the Cavs' defensive improvement: http://www.fearthesword.com/2014/12/...nd-the-success

I think this will be another low-scoring affair.

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

Druff you aware that BCP does sports? Could be another set of lines to choose from

[Daly]

Bama +125 to win NC

[JUSTIFIEDhomicide]

ANyone else think Bears ML?

[Gordman]

I finally got a little $ on bovada

I feel like betting but not just going to throw my money away

Im watching the Cowboys/Bears; does anyone do this live betting thing on there? Im sure most of it is a suckers bet but I didn't know if there were any props worth betting on

Thoughts?

[Dan Druff]

Bet earlier today on Cle/NY under 197, then the line went up to 197.5 again.

Oh well.

After 1, it's 25-24, so right on pace. Hopefully the scoring dies down a bit in the 2nd quarter.

[Hockey Guy]

I finally got a little $ on bovada

I feel like betting but not just going to throw my money away

Im watching the Cowboys/Bears; does anyone do this live betting thing on there? Im sure most of it is a suckers bet but I didn't know if there were any props worth betting on

Thoughts?

simpdog does live betting. I'd definitely talk to him for pointers.

[Gordman]

Fuck Bovada in their fucking ass. They have my money and they don't know what happened to it. Deposit was declined for NO reason, and now the money is neither in my netspend account nor my Bovada account. Now, according to "Akeem" on the bovada deposit #, I get to wait up to "7-10 business days" for it to get credited back to my netspend account


04217506uy3 t0y2p4qwam4wo;gitw lF/JM;AjsNG;AESKHYJTMF,L5KY,lq3k

[Gordman]

Kind of funny. The first thing that popped in my head when Akeem told me his name was of course this:

[BeerAndPoker]

ANyone else think Bears ML?

Why on earth do you keep betting Bears ML? They are burning money.

[Gordman]

Shit, this live betting is kind of fun, and so far im killing it!

well, percentage wise anyway...im not betting tons of $

[simpdog]

ANyone else think Bears ML?

Why on earth do you keep betting Bears ML? They are burning money.

Exactly. Not against decent teams anyways

[simpdog]

Golden State/NOP over 100.5 first half -110.

[simpdog]

I finally got a little $ on bovada

I feel like betting but not just going to throw my money away

Im watching the Cowboys/Bears; does anyone do this live betting thing on there? Im sure most of it is a suckers bet but I didn't know if there were any props worth betting on

Thoughts?

I like live betting at times since you get a feel of how the game is going.

Tonight took Cavs -2 in 4th quarter. It looked like the Cavs were playing a lot better just had a bad run in the 3rd. You don't get that info if you bet before the game.

Or I like to live bet outliers. If you liked the over 51 in the NFL game tonight, you could have got a far better # after the first quarter. Maybe it's down to 44 and you still take it despite the no scores in first. You know both teams will score and Cutler will likely turn it over 1-2 times.

[Dan Druff]

I like the concept of live betting, but Bovada takes such awwwwwwful juice on live bets that it's absolutely not worth doing there.

On a side note, I "easily" won my NY/Cle under bet. The reason I put "easily" is because I won by 20 points, but was a hair away from a frustrating OT situation, as a last-second tying 3 went in, but was after the buzzer so it didn't count.

Now 8-2 in my last 10, 17-13-2 overall.

I hope that some of you have been riding along with my successful picks, but I wouldn't blame you if you haven't, due to my losing streak prior to it.

[DRK Star]

I dont usually bet against the Bears, but I had to tonight. They completely blow. I will probably bet against them the rest of the season, knowing how shitty they are. The press keeps crushing them here. We are stuck with Cutler for quite a while.