Darrell Horcher/Khabib Nurmagomedov Under 2½ -117
Nurmagomedov inside distance
Darrell Horcher/Khabib Nurmagomedov Under 2½ -117
Nurmagomedov inside distance
I can see no scenario where Khabib doesn't finish this fight. I suppose an injury could happen.Originally Posted by Daly
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I going along with you. Didn't get as good odds as you.
Under 2.5 Rounds -130
Had Dodgers Giants under 8 last night. Maeda in the zone. Suicide bet for suicide. But admire his game. Druff edge sorting a fan.
Got my eye on Henry's boy Syndergaard (Mets) vs Philly.
Two anemic offenses. Syndergaard goes deep in games. Top top numbers.
Under 7 +105
Thinking about Warriors total. Shoulda hit the under earlier. Wish I had the strength to just pass on this but I am weak.
Took Hawks -6 -110 vs Celts w/o Avery Bradley
Cubs Cardinals is fascinating. I was surprised to see Cardinals surpassed even the Cubs Runs Scored.
Lackey just hasn't been sharp. Lotta historic nonsense about Leake vs previous Cubs teams.
Cubs went to sleep vs Rockies last night. Cubs OTR again tonight.
There's an edge somewhere in all this.
Cubs -1.5 +145 makes no sense but looks so juicy. It's like Cubs porn.
Edit:
Decided to go with over 8.5 Cubs Cardinals. Again, Lackey hasn't been sharp and Molina & Cardinals have the book on the ex-Cardinal Lackey. This bet is not a great price and is more about a 6 pack of Guinness and enjoying the game.
[Ticket #: 256751947] STRAIGHT BET
04/18/2016 @ 05:05 PM
MLB
[957] TOTAL o8½-105 (CHI CUBS vrs STL CARDINALS)
( J LACKEY -R / M LEAKE -R ) RISKING 105.00 TO WIN 100.00
This is my favorite bet tonight.
[Ticket #: 256725407] STRAIGHT BET
04/18/2016 @ 04:15 PM
MLB
[952] TOTAL u7+105 (NY METS vrs PHI PHILLIES)
( N SYNDERGAARD -R / J EICKHOFF -R ) RISKING 200.00 TO WIN 210.00
Line jumped to 7½ just before the first pitch and I had to hit that too
[Ticket #: 256746506] STRAIGHT BET
04/18/2016 @ 04:15 PM
MLB
[952] TOTAL u7½-120 (NY METS vrs PHI PHILLIES)
( N SYNDERGAARD -R / J EICKHOFF -R ) RISKING 120.00 TO WIN 100.00
Basketball for tomorrow. The lesson here is to get it early when you know the change. You knew Curry's ankle was an issue yesterday & we missed a good price on under cause the line caught up today
[Ticket #: 256726648] STRAIGHT BET
04/19/2016 @ 04:05 PM
NBA
Playoffs - Game #2
[524] ATL HAWKS -6-110 RISKING 110.00 TO WIN 100.00
Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-18-2016 at 03:52 PM.
Need an answer to "what the hell am I missing?" since I haven't followed this very closely at all...
Cruz is 26/27 cents to win the republican nomination...from the little I've seen this thing goes contested he will most likely be the choice...question is does this get contested...seems to me like there is a decent chance of that happening...would figure cruz's price would rise if he gets enough delegates to block trump...
Am I just plain off on my read of him getting the nod if trump doesn't win outright and the semi-decent shot that this is a contested convention?
If it gets contested, Kasich gets it or Walker or Bush gets it 3rd or 4th ballot HOF. The establishment will seed Cruz to dump Trump, then they will in turn dump Cruz for the guy they wanted all along. "Sure Ted, we got your back", while they sharpen their knives in the cloak room. All these dipshit low level party hacks - 'delegates' stand to walk out of this deal with a beach house and a corvette when all this is said and done, playing one candidate off the other.
Pistons +11 was as easy of money as it gets in the NBA for game 1 and they are +10.5 on a lot of books tonight again. I told a few people privately of this play but will admit I didn't post it in here.
The Pistons play the Cavs hard regardless of where the game is so take that into consideration.
During the regular season the Pistons were 3-1 vs. Cleveland and that speaks volumes. They create some match up issues for the Cavs who struggle vs. teams with a center like Andre Drummond.
It's not as much of a beg borrow and steal bet as game 1 was but the Pistons will play hard again in game 2 so take the Pistons +10.5 or higher ftw.
These homer nignog refs might try to fuck this up but the Pistons should still keep it close enough imo.
Interesting take...like I said haven't been following it very closely at all...If it gets contested, Kasich gets it or Walker or Bush gets it 3rd or 4th ballot HOF. The establishment will seed Cruz to dump Trump, then they will in turn dump Cruz for the guy they wanted all along. "Sure Ted, we got your back", while they sharpen their knives in the cloak room. All these dipshit low level party hacks - 'delegates' stand to walk out of this deal with a beach house and a corvette when all this is said and done, playing one candidate off the other.
Kasich is hella interesting given how he is polling against Hillary...
Wondering if it would be smart to buy some Cruz and kasich and dump them as a trade on a pop if the contested convention starts to be more of a reality...
Also saw hillary is 70 cents to win the general election...that just seems like fucking insanity at this point in the game...I get she is the favorite, but 5:2? No way...figure that might be a good short for a trade as well...
We have to get past the convention for me to gauge how the rest of it shakes out. The way Trump would manhandle Hillary in a debate would be some next level shit. I don't think any of the other Repub candidates can even stand with her. I mean I don't think anyone other than Obama could really beat her in a debate.. but along comes Trump.Interesting take...like I said haven't been following it very closely at all...
Kasich is hella interesting given how he is polling against Hillary...
Wondering if it would be smart to buy some Cruz and kasich and dump them as a trade on a pop if the contested convention starts to be more of a reality...
Also saw hillary is 70 cents to win the general election...that just seems like fucking insanity at this point in the game...I get she is the favorite, but 5:2? No way...figure that might be a good short for a trade as well...
thats my point on Hillary...a lot of shit has to shake out...69/70 cents seems like a dogshit price given we have no clue who the republican nominee is going to be...
Would love to sell her at 69/70 and start covering around 60 and be all out by 55...
I like the way you are thinking about this. Its just a trade and not the endgame.
So, is this the highest price we have seen to date?
Do we want to wait for a top? Can we get a better price? Say, Trump steps on his dick in some small way and sell then.
Regardless, I think you can expect some (errant/mistaken) excitement and love around the convention. The reward seems greater than the risk.
Again, we are not talking about who will win or any of that. You are just playing the swings in public sentiment.
Interested to see if you trade this. Is a 10 point move a profitable trade? I thought Druff said the juice was terrible
Gonna look at Pistons idea. Sounds good.
Fading injured Celts last night was the best playoff NBA bet so far. 7 points first quarter.
Just did this. Line just popped. Been following all day. Explain later. Sorry Druff.
[Ticket #: 257002289] STRAIGHT BET
04/20/2016 @ 04:10 PM
MLB
[960] ATL BRAVES +140
( ACTION ) RISKING 100.00 TO WIN 140.00
Just got +11 -110 on Detroit
Last edited by Sanlmar; 04-20-2016 at 01:21 PM.
Yo San...just got bored today so started looking at it...haven't looked at transaction costs, but yeah that would fuck it...I like the way you are thinking about this. Its just a trade and not the endgame.
So, is this the highest price we have seen to date?
Do we want to wait for a top? Can we get a better price? Say, Trump steps on his dick in some small way and sell then.
Regardless, I think you can expect some (errant/mistaken) excitement and love around the convention. The reward seems greater than the risk.
Again, we are not talking about who will win or any of that. You are just playing the swings in public sentiment.
Interested to see if you trade this. Is a 10 point move a profitable trade? I thought Druff said the juice was terrible
definitely looking at it as a pure trade and not an end game...
this is a 30 and 90 day high for Hillary...she got all the way up to 71 today, right now she is down to 68...interesting...sure she got a bump on that NY victory that took her up towards 70, now she is "fading" a little...id load the boat on Hillary below 50, be interested between 50-55, be agnostic between 55-60, and be a seller above 60 right now...
I like your idea about excitement around the convention...think a time to buy Hillary would be in the week leading up to the convention and then dump her right as she gives her speech...think you could make a few points on that trade...
my cruz/Kasich (as 4D clued me in to) is strictly a trade based on a contested convention...you buy that package for 31 now (24 & 7) and I'm sure you could sell the package for like 50 if you get any likelihood of a contested convention...again I haven't been following as closely as people on this board, but from the little ive read it seems like that is the endgame from the GOP establishment...ive been wrong before on things related to gambling (thought villanova was a sell at 12:1 to win the title) and I'm sure ill be wrong again, but this shit is definitely interesting from a 'lets try to make some money on this shit angle'...
EDIT: just looked that the vig is 10% on all profits...seems pretty fucking bad...
Raptors were +1 on some books prior to the start of the game. I understand they are playing on the road but come on Las Vegas, are you serious?
If you took the Cubs -15 your good.
Arrietta or Syndergaard best pitcher?
Jumped on Warriors -3.5 for 2nd half...Curry out as they are playing it safe with his ankle. Charles Barkley was funny during halftime report and Guarantees (said it dozen times) that GS wins by 10 and that the Rockets are "fake hustle" and hes seen it before lol
Last edited by VegasJim; 04-21-2016 at 08:34 PM. Reason: Wrote Shaq when I meant Barkley
Had Rockets ml. They could possibly be the dumbest group of players ever assembled. They tried to fuck that game every which way. Even when the Warriors gave them the fucking thing with 1 second left they throw the fucking inbounds pass towards their own basket. Thought Livingston was going to steal it and lay it in. Feel like I stole one there.
If you have an out that has week 1 NFL go pound Arizona immediately.
BREAKING: US Appeals court reinstates New England Patriots' Tom Brady's suspension over 'deflategate' - Reuters
Steph Curry with a Grade 1 MCL sprain in his right knee and will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
Hillary to win the general election got down to 64 yesterday from a high of 71 after she won NY...
watch to see the price action after what is expected to be a Clinton asskicking in PA...
if you could actually trade this shit in size you could make some good money scalping...but I think the max is like $850 so if you sold 120 shares at $0.70 and covered at $0.65 you made a cool $60 minus $6 in commissions for a $54 profit...
unfortunately not fucking worth it...
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