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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #541
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Ark ML -120
    az/az state o 64.5

  2. #542
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
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    I'm all over Calgary(-7.5) in the Grey Cup over Hamilton. Really don't think this game will be close since it's indoors in BC Place so weather will not be a factor & Calgary is healthy.

    http://sports.bovada.lv/sports-betti...ball-lines.jsp

    Of course I haven't taken Calgary chokage into consideration but that happens to them in the Western Final & is usually weather related so..........
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  3. #543
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    NBA Black Friday:

    Dallas/Toronto - Under 210.5 - This one isn't covered by my system. It's a rare game where two teams with high offense and above-average defense face one another. Toronto went a streak of 9 games where they allowed 100 or fewer points, and 7 of those 9 they only allowed 93 or fewer! That streak was broken in a score fest versus Atlanta (126-115 win), but for the most part I like Toronto's defense. Dallas has put up huge numbers against teams with bad defenses, but has been a mixed bag with whether they can score a lot against strong defensive squads. I think this line is inflated because of the 241-point Atlanta game Toronto just had.

    Sacramento/San Antionio - Under 193 - Sac is banged up, with Gay, Collison questionable and Cousins out. San Antonio's stifling defense has allowed fewer than 92 ppg. I like this going under here, even though again this isn't a game on my system.

    Phoenix/Denver - Over 216 (Type 1) - These teams don't play defense. I shied away from their last game recently due to the high total, and they put up 232 points. Phoenix's Isiah Thomas is probable to play.

    Minnesota/Lakers - Over 214 (Type 1) - Speaking of two teams that don't play defense... Both of these teams have allowed around 110 ppg against. Put them together and I see a lot of scoring.

    Lakers -6 -105 vs Minnesota - Lakers have looked a bit better recently. They hung tough (but lost) against Memphis in their last game. Minnesota is awful, and I think that even the troubled Lakers will crush them here at home.


    Skipping Clippers/Houston (normally Type 2 under) because Dwight Howard is out, and that changes Houston's strong defense.

  4. #544
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Bets I actually made (all $770 to win $700):

    LA Lakers -5.5 vs Minnesota (got better line than Vegas)
    Lakers/Minnesota - Over 213 (got better line than Vegas)
    Phoenix/Denver - Over 216

    Dallas/Tor total has moved to 211.5 -105 so I will wait for Bovada (211 -105) to catch up.
    Sac/San Antonio is off the board on Bovada, so I might be shut out of that one.

    Current record 9-9-2

  5. #545
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Bonus pick:

    New York/OKC - Over 185.5 - Westbrook back

    Not betting it yet myself because Bovada has it at 186

  6. #546
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Put 770 on SA/Sac under 194, just came on board on Bovada

  7. #547
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Fired last minute OKC/NY over 186 -105, 735 to win 700.

    5 games going. Will be brutal if I go 0-5, so hopefully this isn't a disaster.

    Only one I didn't take was Dallas/Toronto, and so far it's looking right around the pace of the line after 1 quarter.

  8. #548
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Well, this sucks. Shortly after I got off my Sac/SA under 194 bet, it was announced that Gay and Collison are "probable". Went from doubtful to probable.

    Somehow that only moved the line to 194.5.

    Anyway not liking this one anymore, but I'm stuck with it.

    Literally...


  9. #549
    Diamond Hockey Guy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy View Post
    I'm all over Calgary(-7.5) in the Grey Cup over Hamilton. Really don't think this game will be close since it's indoors in BC Place so weather will not be a factor & Calgary is healthy.

    http://sports.bovada.lv/sports-betti...ball-lines.jsp

    Of course I haven't taken Calgary chokage into consideration but that happens to them in the Western Final & is usually weather related so..........
    The line moved to -8 but I still took it. I just don't think it'll be close.

    I see a 34-17 game.
    (•_•) ..
    ∫\ \___( •_•)
    _∫∫ _∫∫ɯ \ \

    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy
    I'd say good luck in the freeroll but I'm pretty sure you'll go on a bender to self-sabotage yourself & miss it completely or use it as the excuse of why you didn't cash.

  10. #550
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Ugggggggggggggh

    Dallas/Toronto looking like it's going to go under by a good deal. Stupid Bovada.

    Phoenix/Denver off to a terrible start, as no one can score.

    OKC clobbering NY 59-33 at the half, but over/under is fairly close (92 scored, I have under 186).

    SA/Sac currently 48-40 in the 2nd, not looking good for under 194 but it's not dead yet.

    Overall not happy right now.

  11. #551
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    LOL @ how of the 4 games running right now involving my picks, the one that looks the best BY FAR is the one I didn't bet because of the Bovada line (Dallas/Tor). That one will win if it doesn't go to OT.

    Right now:

    SA/Sac - Looking lousy after 1 half (112 points, need 82 in 2nd half to tie)
    NY/OKC - Looking fairly bad after 3 quarters (132 points, blowout game, need 54 more to tie)
    Phoenix/Denver - Another blowout game, but O/U is slightly on pace to win (87 points, 5 min left in 2nd)

  12. #552
    Gone Fishing smiflorida's Avatar
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    Druff:

    Thanks for the Dallas/Toronto - Under pick. To bad you couldn't get action on it. I'm going to donate a few bucks for next week's free roll..

  13. #553
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by smiflorida View Post
    Druff:

    Thanks for the Dallas/Toronto - Under pick. To bad you couldn't get action on it. I'm going to donate a few bucks for next week's free roll..
    Thanks. I could get action, but I refused because I lost 0.5 points on Bovada off the Vegas line and it was pissing me off.

    Anyway your donation is appreciated.

  14. #554
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Hockey Guy View Post
    I'm all over Calgary(-7.5) in the Grey Cup over Hamilton. Really don't think this game will be close since it's indoors in BC Place so weather will not be a factor & Calgary is healthy.

    http://sports.bovada.lv/sports-betti...ball-lines.jsp

    Of course I haven't taken Calgary chokage into consideration but that happens to them in the Western Final & is usually weather related so..........
    The line moved to -8 but I still took it. I just don't think it'll be close.

    I see a 34-17 game.
    I know nothing about the CFL but I will blindly fire on this one based upon this suggestion.

    Just booked $770 to win $700.

  15. #555
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    0-2 start to the day.

    Sac/SA basically clinched at this point to a loss.

    NY/OKC game got close for me at the end but didn't quite get there (183 points final).

    Den/Phoenix looking fairly good (113 points) at the half.

  16. #556
    Gone Fishing smiflorida's Avatar
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    Appreciate that CFL pick, going to let it ride.

    Game turned out to be pretty close after all 106-102.

    Plz check your PM

  17. #557
    Plutonium Brittney Griner's Clit's Avatar
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    Druff if you line shop this hard put money on other sites. Use sbrodds.Com to track movement. Bovada is routinely on an island with theor lines.

  18. #558
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    2-2 tonight.

    Need lakers to send this to OT to have a chance.

    5 secs left, tie game

  19. #559
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Idiot nick young fouls him, unless both miss I'm fucked

  20. #560
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Idiot nick young fouls him, unless both miss I'm fucked
    Tonight proved how bad the defense is. They were up 8 late in the 4th and should have held on to an easy win over a young Minnesota team.

    Instead they let them back in it and gave it away.

    The good news is there was no sweat on the over at all.

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