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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #5001
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRK Star View Post
    Golden State is -5.5 at HOME tonight, vs San Antonio, and Duncan isnt playing.


    I have zero NBA knowledge, but I would guess that the line, after seeing GS blow everyone out lately, should be higher
    This isn't 2005. Duncan is more of a role player now with the Spurs

    I'm surprised he is worth 2.5 pts to the line at this point. 9 pts and 7.5 rebounds a game in 25 mins.

    Although I guess the sub you replace him with isn't anywhere near the same bball IQ.

  2. #5002
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    yeah, I was thinking that there are several factors that would be important with him playing and not just pts scored. Leadership, motivation, skill, knowledge, how does it affect teammates, does he match up well against whomever would be covering him, compared to someone else, etc.


    didnt think it would be so small of a factor.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    (I'm) a little preoccupied in Thailand right now

  3. #5003
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    Per minute, Duncan is the most valuable defensive player in the NBA, and top 10 overall. The Spurs bench is historically elite, a top 3 NBA lineup in itself. Duncan's 26 minutes get capably shared by Boban, LMA, West and Diaw, all solid albeit lesser players.

  4. #5004
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    Rangers at home v Buffalo, not a lock like Blackhawks these days at home but Rangers slightly better trending team, home, and better team overall.

  5. #5005
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheXFactor View Post
    Carolina Panthers look unbeatable.
    If you bet on Carolina to win the Super Bowl back in August 2015.
    They were 60-1.

    Broncos only chance to win SB is to try and make it a low scoring game and for Peyton to get real lucky.

    Broncos have as much chance of beating the Carolina Panthers as Jeb Bush becoming President.


    7 turnovers by Arizona. Love the Broncos +4.5. Who knows, maybe I get lucky and get +6.

  6. #5006
    Diamond TheXFactor's Avatar
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    Most sportsbooks have Carolina Panthers favored by -4 total 45.

    Panthers should be an even bigger favorite next week.

    This should be Peyton Manning's last time in the Super Bowl.

    Broncos have a better defense than last time when they played the Seahawks.
    But Carolina Panthers are a much better team than the Seahawks were then and they played better than every other team in the NFL this season.

    They deserve to win.

    Broncos strategy should be to get the Panthers drunk, high on drugs and get them hookers to wear them out before the game.

    Panthers would win anyway.

    Take out a second mortgage and bet on the Panthers.

    Peyton will soon have a date set for getting into a senior living facility.


    Expect to see Peyton do this a lot in the Super Bowl.


  7. #5007
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    Super Bowl line is correct. As usual, pick up all that free money on props. Entire bankroll should be at risk.

     
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      Daly: Somebody who knows what the fuck they are talking about rep.

  8. #5008
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    Broncos D will have to play a completely perfect game for them to even have a chance. They probably will still have to get lucky maybe with a pick6 or big return. Cam is just playing on another level right now.

    Is current Peyton possibly the worst starting QB in the super bowl ever? Not really sure I'd take him now over say 2000 Dilfer or 1990 Hostetler.

  9. #5009
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gut View Post

    Is current Peyton possibly the worst starting QB in the super bowl ever? Not really sure I'd take him now over say 2000 Dilfer or 1990 Hostetler.






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      big dick: yep
      
      gut: Ha! I forgot about Sexy Rexy
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    (I'm) a little preoccupied in Thailand right now

  10. #5010
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    Quote Originally Posted by IAmProfessionalTalk View Post
    Per minute, Duncan is the most valuable defensive player in the NBA, and top 10 overall. The Spurs bench is historically elite, a top 3 NBA lineup in itself. Duncan's 26 minutes get capably shared by Boban, LMA, West and Diaw, all solid albeit lesser players.
    I don't think Boban is going to get much run in this matchup...

  11. #5011
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    this Warriors/Spurs game is awesome so far. Great game to watch for the fans. I normally hate NBA, but this is fantastic.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    (I'm) a little preoccupied in Thailand right now

  12. #5012
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRK Star View Post
    this Warriors/Spurs game is awesome so far. Great game to watch for the fans. I normally hate NBA, but this is fantastic.
    Not sure I can say the same when it comes to being competitive with the Spurs being down 15 at the half and now like 30 but if you've never seen what the Warriors do it's amazing.

  13. #5013
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    You people thinking Carolina is going to win a blowout are hilarious! Do you have any clue how football works lol? This Broncos defense is one of the all time greats, you cannot blowout this team. No chance Carolina wins in a blowout in this game, will come down right to the wire

  14. #5014
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    did you watch the 1st half? I know they finished up 15, but it was outstanding teamwork going on by both teams. Great passing and movement.


    yes, its now a 29 pt lead at the end of the 3rd.
    Quote Originally Posted by Tyde View Post
    (I'm) a little preoccupied in Thailand right now

  15. #5015
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRK Star View Post
    did you watch the 1st half? I know they finished up 15, but it was outstanding teamwork going on by both teams. Great passing and movement.


    yes, its now a 29 pt lead at the end of the 3rd.
    Spurs are a good team for sure but if you blink a few times on the Warriors then you are down 10+ before you know it.

  16. #5016
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by larrylegend33 View Post
    You people thinking Carolina is going to win a blowout are hilarious! Do you have any clue how football works lol? This Broncos defense is one of the all time greats, you cannot blowout this team. No chance Carolina wins in a blowout in this game, will come down right to the wire

    It could be a dog fight and a close game but if any team is getting blown out in this Super Bowl it's going to be Denver.

    Carolina presents a series of problems for Denver more then they do for Carolina imo.

    For starters did you see what Carolina defense is capable of on Sunday? They forced 7 turnovers vs. Arizona who has a way better offense then Denver does.

    Denver has a QB that if he has to go one place between being a quarterback in the nfl or in a retirement home it's retirement home all the way.

    Denver regular season held teams to 18.5 points per game which is only 0.8 points fewer then Carolina.

    Both teams are great at stopping the run but Carolina has Cam Newton who can scramble it up and Peyton will be Mr. Predictable in the pocket just like Carson Palmer was.

    The defenses are very close, especially when Carolina plays strong not collapsing in the second half which has been a weakness for them but usually when they have big leads.

    I'm not thinking mega blowout like when they played Seattle but I still wouldn't be that shocked if Denver losees by 2 TDs.

  17. #5017
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Miami now 3-0 since I said to blindly bet their under, and 31-13 overall with unders.

    I would have TOTALLY fired on them today vs Chicago (another team which goes under frequently), but I missed the bet because I was busy with other shit today.

    Damn.

  18. #5018
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I know I mentioned this a few pages back but everyone should really be checking the odds on the Iowa Caucus. The odds are all over the place for this and there are some exploitable situations.

    I've been able to get $1K on trump to win Iowa at +150, and $1K on Trump won't win Iowa at +130.

    Odds seem to be consistent on the donkey side and GOP NH.

    For what it's worth I think Cruz wins Iowa based on Nate Silvers site.

  19. #5019
    Gold Charham's Avatar
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    OK NHL Panthers should handle Toronto. Toronto a mess, Panthers hitting their stride.
    Too bad all star break coming up. Will need to take a break for a week or so and see how teams handle the mid point, adjust, etc.

  20. #5020
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Charham View Post
    OK NHL Panthers should handle Toronto. Toronto a mess, Panthers hitting their stride.
    Too bad all star break coming up. Will need to take a break for a week or so and see how teams handle the mid point, adjust, etc.
    In my experience from capping SOG props there doesn't seem to be much change after the all star break in hockey. Teams are what they are at this point and don't change much until the hockey version of "September call ups".

    That's when historical team performance can change drastically.

     
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      Charham: interesting, thanks.

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