Originally Posted by
Sanlmar
Japan and their low birth rate. Young Japanese working women have near zero interest in children. Japan has a healthy and wealthy retired population.
Japan is the best example of a homogenous population. Look the same. Polite and law abiding society. That absolutely positively will change. Immigration will happen out of absolute necessity if Japan is to survive. The change will be most profound in Japan.
We have the same issues. We are less polite and disciplined as a society but we have room still on the downside.
There is pressure in Massachusetts to speed up the paperwork for immigrants so they can be hired into the workforce. An office cleaner wage in Massachusetts has doubled in 5 years. Any kind of maintenance staffing is impossible.
Say what you will about post war but sheer boomer numbers was the impetus for the greatest continuous 40-50 years of growth and prosperity this country ever saw.
Indeed simultanously the seeds for decline were sown. Absolutely no argument.
My vote is 2007 if you wanna put a year on it. Coincidentally the same year as the birth of social media and smart phones. A little gas on the economic fire.
I now give you $37t in debt and Trump v Biden. Trump is the product of the populism that resulted from the Wall Street bailout.
You will not hear any politician talk about birth rates or the debt (Most of the posters here either for that matter).
Woke nonsense and what books should be in lol public schools instead.
Tick tock
This is interesting. Nothing happens in a vacuum so there isn't one thing. The more educated you are the less kids you're going to have. Like all the kids when we went from 4 per house to 1.5 when women went into the workplace has caused the deficit. Yet that die was cast for everyone in the workforce now from the start. It's been essential to have two incomes for young couples forever if you don't want to live in the hood and send them to some school where they are going to get killed.
Chicken/egg. I recall a house that struck me as huge when I was a kid, and now when I drive by it it's an average sized house. Families getting smaller while houses got bigger. More girls finish school, yet a lot have jobs where when you deduct day care if they have a kid and the expense of travel and second cars and the loans they took out to attend, work for $10/hr even if they have a decent degree during the years they started larger families 50 years ago.
One car, no Iphone bill, no wifi bill, car insurance on one vehicle, no cable bill, 1300 square foot home with 6 people, etc. That's what the 1950s was largely. We pine for what we think of as nirvana while everyone has this huge monthly nut.
We certainly fucked up. I don't know what was avoidable. Could have certainly delayed it.