Anyone else regret not taking 22 to 1 on the Giants before tonight?
Biggest bet of 2016 tonight and MadBum delivered.
Sanlmar I can't say it enough. Tried preaching to buddies at the bar watching the game. Bumgarner has to be the best post season player ever. He brings it up 1000 notches and just doesn't lose.
He pretty much guarantees you 2 wins a series.
There was a particular at bat with a runner on 2nd 2 outs and pence at the plate. in the first 5 pitches thrown he got 2 right and missed the strike 3 call running the count full instead before pence grounded outOriginally Posted by Erin Micunt
Yes, couldn't agree more.
On the other side of the game Posey was his usual awesome self. He led the league in pitch framing this year with 28 runs saved, shedding something like .2 runs a game defensively and that's before you factor in how he calls a game and handles a staff. Pitch framing is the main reason he was worth 7.6 bWAR this year, the third most valuable player in baseball behind Kris Bryant and Mike Trout.
He and Yasmani Grandal (27 runs saved) are in a league of their own. That's three wins on pitch framing alone they provided for their teams. BP had Grandal at 6.7 WAR, a top ten position player in all of baseball.
It definitely matters.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php
I want to see Giants vs Dodgers for the pennant. Kershaw vs Bumgarner for 3 games.
I was thinking about the Dodgers vs Nats. Something just hit me. It's 2:30am so I can't flesh this out.
Some background for Henry. I got this recurring Dodgers Red Sox rap that basically says, big money teams' worst opponent is themselves.
Molly Knight wrote "The Best Team Money Can Buy" a book about the Dodgers. Before that I read a piece by her for ESPN.
Central to the piece was the idea that in a post-Moneyball (Michael Lewis my favorite) world, injury risk assessment is the final frontier.
So the Dodgers hire this guy Conte who is at the forefront of a Sabremetric attempt to analyze injury risk etc.
Zaidi & Friedman don't really know how to play in the first level market. They want to screw around with math & value.
So they take what they think is a measured risk with many players who have a history of injury. Boom! Druff is writing posts lamenting Dodgers injuries this year (and their winning despite this.) Variance lulz
Maybe not.
Anyway, my guess is no team has devoted more resources to the injury question and the results are very Dodger-like.
I can now sleep peacefully.
Decent start Jay's.
Best revenge they could ask for.
Cleveland with the numerous solo shots and won 5-4.
Sox need to rebound in Game 2.
"I hit that shot because it was a defining moment and when a defining moment comes along, you either define the moment or the moment defines you" Roy "Tin Cup" Mcevoy
Is this The Official MLB World Series Thread??
If so..... Bow to the Best Ever!!
BTW Dusty gets his first Championship!!!
Stay Tuned
RAZZZZOORRRRRRRRRRR RRAMMMMMMMMMOONNNNNNNNNNEEEEEEEEEEEE
"Winning is the most important thing in my life, after breathing. Breathing first, winning next."
George Steinbrenner
My thoughts are the variance broke negatively for the Dodgers this year.
Check out this chart with the projected FIPs of Ryu, McCarthy, Anderson. There's no doubt when these guys are on the field they're effective.
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2016-...otations-1-15/
Preseason, they were projected to have the 2nd best staff in the league (actual 4th). They had 9 starters projected to add a half win+ to the team (three more than any other team). Druff wasn't calling Brett Anderson a failpitcher in 2015 after the Dodgers signed him to 1yr/10mil coming off major back surgery and he proceeded to give them 31 highly effective starts.
The Rays can't risk paying an injured pitcher money, even if they recognize he's undervalued on the market, but the Dodgers can. The depth is a whole separate thing from the injured FA thing and the depth thing paid off (again).
Random thoughts:
- Since 2000 the Cardinals have won 52% of their postseason games (65-60). The value of getting into the playoffs every year.
- Red Sox go from around 60% series favorites to about 40% with the loss. Their WS odds went from 18% to 11%.
Last edited by Henry; 10-07-2016 at 11:32 AM.
Best pitching matchup all MLB playoffs is in the NLDS.
Can't get any better then Dodgers Keisha's against 20G winner and nearly 300Ks from Max Scherzer. Hopefully these guys will match up twice in this series. This clearly will likely be the best pitching head to head matchup we will see this October.
These fuckers are blind.
btw, I've got an original authenticated non Chinese, signed and DNA confirmed Jose Bautista jersey for sale
Last edited by limitles; 10-07-2016 at 03:03 PM.
Who would've thought there would be 7 runs in a Kershaw-Scherzer matchup in the 4th?
Keep in mind that the O/U for the game was 6!
Kershaw looking awful today, just has no command at all.
Scherzer looking better than Kershaw, but he's made a few dumb pitches (most notably that bad curveball to Justin Turner, smacked for a 2-run HR), so Dodgers are barely up 4-3 after taking a 4-0 lead.
I know Kershaw has a big ego and it's hard to take him out and piss him off (or make him doubt himself for the rest of the playoffs), but if the Dodgers don't get him out soon, they will lose.
This year's bullpen is good, so it's not like other years where they had to fear a fail bullpen blowing the game.
I don't think this is just Kershaw having postseason issues. I think he isn't fully healthy.
The FS1 announcers are awful, blaming Kershaw's lack of command on Grandal. Come on.
Funny how Andrew Toles was working in a grocery store a year ago, and now he's in the MLB playoffs.
That's the sort of story you would have heard 50-100 years ago, but not in 2016. You have to really be resigned to your baseball career being absolutely dead if you're working in a grocery store.
Toles with two good rips already today, one of which fell for a hit.
Utley brings a great intensity and baseball smarts to the game, and he can still hit, but boy has his defense been bad today.
That's the last thing you want when the pitcher isn't on his game.
Scherzer is looking really good now. Dodgers better get Kershaw out of there and hope they can contain the Nationals for the rest of the game.
Ever since Turner's HR, Scherzer became himself again. Seems like he had the postseason jitters up to that point, but I don't think he's giving up much now.
Sawks getting manhandled by Cleveland.
How weird would an Indians/Cubs World Series be?
Justin Turner had just 2 AB as a reserve in the 2014 postseason, and went 0-for-2.
Since then (2015/2016), he's just 12-for-21 with 6 doubles and a HR.
Wow.
Given Utley's LOL .154 average against lefties, I would have taken him out with 2 out, 2 on in the 7th, given the Dodgers' 1-run lead. It's not like you need him for his defense.
Put in a righty PH who at least has a chance, even if that causes the Nats to put in a right handed pitcher to face him.
This just seemed like an automatic out. I mean, they even walked Puig just to get to him, and it was the correct move.
I think sometimes managers go overboard with switches due to left/right matchup, sometimes taking out a hot pitcher or hitter just because of the matchup, but in this case it was warranted.
9 outs left. Hopefully Dodgers hold on. I knew they wouldn't be getting any more offense once Scherzer settled down, though they might tack on a little bit more against the bullpen.
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